Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 6.830699 7.953673 9.166802 10.570294 12.144670 13.851602 15.837449
2025-12-14 5.303592 6.795971 8.531606 10.681990 13.256219 16.219883 19.869634
2025-12-21 4.341062 5.997319 8.036614 10.696857 14.036818 18.050777 23.194718
2025-12-28 3.780489 5.564200 7.866908 10.999206 15.083854 20.160379 26.868344
2026-01-04 3.316933 5.172217 7.671771 11.200205 15.955862 22.038965 30.288099
2026-01-11 2.894620 4.769447 7.399137 11.241150 16.578076 23.584290 33.307470
2026-01-18 2.442847 4.258747 6.911802 10.923047 16.662629 24.389639 35.353783
2026-01-25 2.087876 3.843780 6.511048 10.675765 16.800919 25.239532 37.456944
2026-02-01 1.781660 3.463107 6.117205 10.392965 16.849154 25.940517 39.354244
2026-02-08 1.527660 3.133250 5.764553 10.133256 16.897128 26.620009 41.221073
2026-02-15 1.298782 2.814403 5.394462 9.808817 16.814229 27.088794 42.784309
2026-02-22 1.168085 2.654618 5.268888 9.856883 17.289680 28.374095 45.546368
2026-03-01 1.046867 2.498558 5.137597 9.888949 17.746186 29.657797 48.367732
2026-03-08 0.951412 2.379796 5.059373 10.000601 18.329070 31.147572 51.537459
2026-03-15 0.853712 2.242074 4.932137 10.014897 18.747899 32.393795 54.373329
2026-03-22 0.800940 2.192114 4.961705 10.301447 19.621918 34.366738 58.359168
2026-03-29 0.741745 2.119429 4.940136 10.491982 20.339224 36.112744 62.042637
2026-04-05 0.672077 2.012345 4.840484 10.530799 20.795897 37.455172 65.134850
2026-04-12 0.577008 1.829184 4.569369 10.229262 20.645620 37.811612 66.690259
2026-04-19 0.499864 1.676420 4.344057 9.994918 20.594553 38.317666 68.484267
2026-04-26 0.429592 1.528102 4.111647 9.726980 20.464375 38.680561 70.049838
2026-05-03 0.369717 1.395949 3.899507 9.480984 20.356147 39.068145 71.655844
2026-05-10 0.313434 1.261813 3.667032 9.173763 20.114400 39.214292 72.862775